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Let's Chat: Chatbot Outreach for Course Performance

Meyer, Page, Mata et al. (2026) ran two pre-registered RCTs at Georgia State University testing a non-generative academic chatbot that texted students 2โ€“3 customized nudges per week in large-enrollment online courses. It raised the probability of earning an A or B by 4 percentage points โ€” driven entirely by women in Microeconomics (+7 grade points, +11 pp A/B, โˆ’10 pp DFW) โ€” via a task-completion channel (tutoring attendance, homework completion), with no spillover to other courses.

Design

  • Two RCTs (REES-registered) in GSU's Introduction to American Government and Principles of Microeconomics โ€” large-enrollment, asynchronous online courses
  • Half of students got a Mainstay chatbot: 2โ€“3 scheduled text messages/week (due dates, nudges for missing assignments, encouragement), personalized ("Hi FIRSTNAME") and targeted (differentiated by missing-work status); 24/7 AI responses from a curated content knowledge base, TA fallback for unanswered questions
  • Note: the bot is non-generative AI โ€” rule/AI-answered from a pre-programmed knowledge base โ€” which is precisely why it's relevant: minimal hallucination risk at scale
  • Results

  • +4 pp likelihood of earning an A or B, similar across both courses
  • Microeconomics women: +7 grade points vs control women; +11 pp A/B; 10 pp less likely to DFW. No treatment effects for men
  • Mechanisms: treated students more likely to attend university tutoring; suggestive homework-completion gains in Micro (weekly-assignment course); no assignment effects in Government
  • No spillover: no effects on other courses that term or on next-semester enrollment/performance โ€” course-specific gains without (yet) developed study habits
  • 82% of surveyed students recommended continuing the bot and expanding it
  • Why it matters

  • Large-enrollment online courses have documented negative outcomes; low-touch, scalable outreach is one of the few levers that work
  • Contrasts with other low-touch outreach null results (Oreopoulos & Petronijevic 2019) โ€” timing and customization matter; nudges work best on ongoing, dynamic tasks (weekly assignments) rather than one-shot inputs
  • Shows the channel matters: chatbot outreach moved students to human tutoring โ€” a complementarity rather than substitution story
  • A useful counterpoint to GenAI Can Harm Teaching RCT 2026: this is student-facing, non-generative, low-stakes outreach, where AI assistance had positive effects โ€” the harm findings are about generative teacher-facing tools used for delegation
  • Connected Concepts

  • Generative AI
  • Higher Ed
  • Student Experience
  • LLM
  • RAG
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  • Citation

    Meyer, K. E., Page, L. C., Mata, C., Smith, E., Walsh, B. T., Fifield, C. L., Tyson, M., Eremionkhale, A. E., Evans, M., Frost, S., & Jung, E. E. (2026). Let's Chat: Leveraging Chatbot Outreach for Improved Course Performance. NBER Working Paper No. 35397. NBER