Analysis and Prediction of At-Risk Students Using Machine Learning Algorithms

Created: 2026-06-23 | Tags: learning-analyticshigher-eddropout-reductionstudent-modelingrct

Soheila Gheisari, Hamid Salarian (2026) โ€” arXiv:2606.20617 (cs.CY; cs.LG) ๐Ÿ“„ Full text (arXiv)

Gheisari and Salarian (2026) apply supervised machine learning classification to identify at-risk students before they withdraw from higher education programs. The study evaluates Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Machines (SVM), and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) using academic performance, demographic data, and enrollment records. Logistic Regression and linear SVM achieved the highest predictive accuracy, demonstrating ML's capability to detect at-risk students for proactive intervention. This learning-analytics research contributes to student-modeling for dropout-reduction in higher-ed contexts, providing a data-driven foundation for strategic retention decisions and connecting to the broader ai-adoption-training-public-sector discussion on AI-supported institutional decision-making.

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Citation

APA: Soheila Gheisari, Hamid Salarian (2026). Analysis and Prediction of At-Risk Students Using Machine Learning Algorithms. arXiv:2606.20617. arXiv:2606.20617 (cs.CY; cs.LG)