Estimating Learners' Skill Acquisition Without Temporal Information

Created: 2026-06-23 | Tags: student-modelingknowledge-tracingadaptive-learninglearning-analyticsformative-assessment

Ryosuke Nagai, Kyohei Atarashi, Koh Takeuchi, Jill-Jรชnn Vie, Hisashi Kashima (2026) โ€” AIED 2026, Seoul ๐Ÿ“„ Full text (arXiv)

Nagai et al. (2026) tackle the practical problem that many real-world educational datasets contain only single-time-point assessments (snapshots) without temporal information, making standard time-series knowledge tracing approaches inapplicable. They propose a novel framework that uses inclusion relations among learners' skill sets โ€” interpreting expanding skill sets as a proxy for learning progression โ€” to induce a pseudo-temporal ordering from snapshot data. A neural model captures latent skill acquisition dynamics through expected skill increments. Experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets show consistent outperformance over baselines, with particularly strong advantages as the skill space grows. This work bridges student-modeling and knowledge-tracing for data-constrained environments, enabling adaptive-learning support and personalized-learning in settings where longitudinal data is unavailable โ€” a significant practical advance for learning-analytics and formative-assessment in low-resource contexts.

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Citation

APA: Ryosuke Nagai, Kyohei Atarashi, Koh Takeuchi, Jill-Jรชnn Vie, Hisashi Kashima (2026). Estimating Learners' Skill Acquisition Without Temporal Information. arXiv:2606.20611. AIED 2026, Seoul